Put your money
where your mouth is.
Never lose track of a private wager.
Find out what your friends
At arbitrary odds!
We leave it up to you to settle up your bets.
Reject an offer and send it back
with revised terms or payouts
in just a few clicks.
Configure your notifications in the settings.
Kelly bet calculator
A mathematical tool for deciding how much
to stake on a given wager. (
Creating a wager denominated in Manifold's
currency will automatically generate a
Manifold Market, once you've linked
your account in the settings.
Offer a wager to somebody without revealing
how likely you think you are to win. After
both parties provide their odds, the
midpoint is automatically selected.
Metrics! Calibration reports!
Brag about your
NLP wager intake
Think "Todoist, but for wagers" e.g.
Deep learning wager intake
Ok, this one's a joke.
So you made a bad wager. Agree on
revised odds and "close" your
position to reduce your exposure.